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	<title>Comments on: What’s the Arabic word for Lull?</title>
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	<link>http://blog.psaonline.org/2008/06/19/what%e2%80%99s-the-arabic-word-for-%e2%80%9clull%e2%80%9d/</link>
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		<title>By: Matt Rojansky</title>
		<link>http://blog.psaonline.org/2008/06/19/what%e2%80%99s-the-arabic-word-for-%e2%80%9clull%e2%80%9d/comment-page-1/#comment-1076667</link>
		<dc:creator>Matt Rojansky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Jun 2008 13:48:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.psaonline.org/?p=556#comment-1076667</guid>
		<description>Well, if you were laying odds, I hope you bet this thing wouldn&#039;t make it a week.  After exactly  five days of calm, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/meast/06/24/gaza.truce/index.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;rockets and mortars are again raining down on Sderot and other Israeli communities near Gaza.&lt;/a&gt;

It&#039;s important to note here that Israel also undertook a military operation, seeking to arrest a Palestinian Islamic Jihad leader in the West Bank (and killing him when he shot at soldiers), not Gaza.  The Hamas-Israel deal was for a halt to attacks by both sides in and around Gaza, not the West Bank, so technically this was not a violation of the agreement by Israel, though it was hardly a wise move.

If I had to guess, I would say the mortar fire on Sderot was &quot;retaliation&quot; by PIJ for the operation against its militants in the West Bank, and probably an effort to draw the other Palestinian factions back into a fight with Israel in Gaza.  That would magnify PIJ&#039;s apparent importance relative to Hamas, which bears responsibility for enforcing the &quot;lull&quot; among Palestinian groups in Gaza.

I doubt very much this was sanctioned by Hamas.  It would be hard to imagine what Hamas would have to gain from a few isolated attacks like these.  It certainly has proven its capacity and willingness to do battle with Israel, and the latest &quot;lull&quot; would have been its first diplomatic victory, and maybe even the beginnings of some broader international recognition and legitimacy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well, if you were laying odds, I hope you bet this thing wouldn&#8217;t make it a week.  After exactly  five days of calm, <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/meast/06/24/gaza.truce/index.html" rel="nofollow">rockets and mortars are again raining down on Sderot and other Israeli communities near Gaza.</a></p>
<p>It&#8217;s important to note here that Israel also undertook a military operation, seeking to arrest a Palestinian Islamic Jihad leader in the West Bank (and killing him when he shot at soldiers), not Gaza.  The Hamas-Israel deal was for a halt to attacks by both sides in and around Gaza, not the West Bank, so technically this was not a violation of the agreement by Israel, though it was hardly a wise move.</p>
<p>If I had to guess, I would say the mortar fire on Sderot was &#8220;retaliation&#8221; by PIJ for the operation against its militants in the West Bank, and probably an effort to draw the other Palestinian factions back into a fight with Israel in Gaza.  That would magnify PIJ&#8217;s apparent importance relative to Hamas, which bears responsibility for enforcing the &#8220;lull&#8221; among Palestinian groups in Gaza.</p>
<p>I doubt very much this was sanctioned by Hamas.  It would be hard to imagine what Hamas would have to gain from a few isolated attacks like these.  It certainly has proven its capacity and willingness to do battle with Israel, and the latest &#8220;lull&#8221; would have been its first diplomatic victory, and maybe even the beginnings of some broader international recognition and legitimacy.</p>
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