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	<title>Comments on: The Domino Theory</title>
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		<title>By: Courtenay Barnett</title>
		<link>http://blog.psaonline.org/2008/06/09/the-domino-theory/comment-page-1/#comment-1031309</link>
		<dc:creator>Courtenay Barnett</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Jun 2008 22:45:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.psaonline.org/?p=545#comment-1031309</guid>
		<description>John - if you are truly interested in internatinal justice, then maybe you need to start by puting things in historical context to discern why the threat of more war looms large in the Midddle East. From your persepctive, no doubt, the use of the phrase &quot;national security&quot; serves as a fig leaf to hide embarrassing details.
 
Israel

What do you call the bombing of the King David hotel, the acts of Begin, and the displacement of 700,000 Palestinians exiled from Palestine in 1948? Menachem Begin,, with commandoes in April, 1948 attacked the Palestinian village of Deir Yassin, a village of about 750 Palestinian civilians and left about 100 dead. The killings, in a cycle of violence, as we are both aware, have gone on since the first war against the Palestinians in 1948. But, in your narrative, it is only the Palestinians to which the label &quot;terrorist&quot; must stick. We can accept that the de facto establishment of the state of Israel has now gained credence – de jure. However, under international law, Israel does not have a right to implant itself beyond the pre-1967 boundaries, but this is precisely what it is doing, in violation of  international law, by way of establishing the settlements. 

Iran

The 1953 CIA coup was very successful in destroying then existing Iranian democracy. The 1979 Iranian revolution had its genesis in the US placing a puppet, the Shah, in power who ruled with quite extreme brutality. It was the US pre-1979 that had convinced the Shah to go nuclear, with due regard for the saving of oil supplies for global consumption through reliance by Iran on an alternative source of nuclear energy for domestic Iranian use. Well, fast forward and here we are today in discussion about a possible or even probable war with Iran over the use of nuclear energy, instigated and forced by – well – the US.

Iraq

The invasion by the US of Iraq in 2003, under international law, was an act of aggression, and stands in violation of Article 2 of the UN Charter, in that the US failed to obtain Security Council approval ( if you will recall that recent history and the &quot;Downing Street memorandum&quot; evidencing  a pre-arranged agenda for war supported by fabricated evidence).

I outline the forgoing, which you can research and then factually verify to make your own points grounded in the facts and based on historical context. First, if rational people can see that in Iraq America is in actuality engaged in an &quot;oil war&quot; then we can also discern that Iran likewise having  quite substantial supplies of oil, provides  every reason to believe that America will continue its bellicose agenda, if not instigated by itself, then once Israel does attack Iran ( on whatever pretext) the US, it is assured,  would give full military support to its ally. Second, not merely the global &quot;peak oil&quot; problem as a global economic phenomenon, but any significant process of oil sales in any alternative currency than the US dollar has major implications for the value of the US dollar, as present world reserve currency. Third, the first two propositions place on the table, events that are actually in existence, and surprisingly - do not - if I may paraphrase you- dear friend : &quot;present(s) speculative hunches about the future as inevitable truths, clouding our perceptions of the present and the future in one fell swoop.&quot; Maybe if you seriously considered that there were and still are both historical and contemporary politico-economic variables that may propel the US/ Israel and the Middle East/ world to war - then maybe a sort of &quot;domino theory&quot; of events is actually unfold. Sorry to come at you from this angle, but your ideas while intellectually stimulating, seem not to be fully grounded in historical facts ( now there is an opening for you to come back at what I have said). Later, and keep the peace!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John &#8211; if you are truly interested in internatinal justice, then maybe you need to start by puting things in historical context to discern why the threat of more war looms large in the Midddle East. From your persepctive, no doubt, the use of the phrase &#8220;national security&#8221; serves as a fig leaf to hide embarrassing details.</p>
<p>Israel</p>
<p>What do you call the bombing of the King David hotel, the acts of Begin, and the displacement of 700,000 Palestinians exiled from Palestine in 1948? Menachem Begin,, with commandoes in April, 1948 attacked the Palestinian village of Deir Yassin, a village of about 750 Palestinian civilians and left about 100 dead. The killings, in a cycle of violence, as we are both aware, have gone on since the first war against the Palestinians in 1948. But, in your narrative, it is only the Palestinians to which the label &#8220;terrorist&#8221; must stick. We can accept that the de facto establishment of the state of Israel has now gained credence – de jure. However, under international law, Israel does not have a right to implant itself beyond the pre-1967 boundaries, but this is precisely what it is doing, in violation of  international law, by way of establishing the settlements. </p>
<p>Iran</p>
<p>The 1953 CIA coup was very successful in destroying then existing Iranian democracy. The 1979 Iranian revolution had its genesis in the US placing a puppet, the Shah, in power who ruled with quite extreme brutality. It was the US pre-1979 that had convinced the Shah to go nuclear, with due regard for the saving of oil supplies for global consumption through reliance by Iran on an alternative source of nuclear energy for domestic Iranian use. Well, fast forward and here we are today in discussion about a possible or even probable war with Iran over the use of nuclear energy, instigated and forced by – well – the US.</p>
<p>Iraq</p>
<p>The invasion by the US of Iraq in 2003, under international law, was an act of aggression, and stands in violation of Article 2 of the UN Charter, in that the US failed to obtain Security Council approval ( if you will recall that recent history and the &#8220;Downing Street memorandum&#8221; evidencing  a pre-arranged agenda for war supported by fabricated evidence).</p>
<p>I outline the forgoing, which you can research and then factually verify to make your own points grounded in the facts and based on historical context. First, if rational people can see that in Iraq America is in actuality engaged in an &#8220;oil war&#8221; then we can also discern that Iran likewise having  quite substantial supplies of oil, provides  every reason to believe that America will continue its bellicose agenda, if not instigated by itself, then once Israel does attack Iran ( on whatever pretext) the US, it is assured,  would give full military support to its ally. Second, not merely the global &#8220;peak oil&#8221; problem as a global economic phenomenon, but any significant process of oil sales in any alternative currency than the US dollar has major implications for the value of the US dollar, as present world reserve currency. Third, the first two propositions place on the table, events that are actually in existence, and surprisingly &#8211; do not &#8211; if I may paraphrase you- dear friend : &#8220;present(s) speculative hunches about the future as inevitable truths, clouding our perceptions of the present and the future in one fell swoop.&#8221; Maybe if you seriously considered that there were and still are both historical and contemporary politico-economic variables that may propel the US/ Israel and the Middle East/ world to war &#8211; then maybe a sort of &#8220;domino theory&#8221; of events is actually unfold. Sorry to come at you from this angle, but your ideas while intellectually stimulating, seem not to be fully grounded in historical facts ( now there is an opening for you to come back at what I have said). Later, and keep the peace!</p>
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		<title>By: BiBiJon</title>
		<link>http://blog.psaonline.org/2008/06/09/the-domino-theory/comment-page-1/#comment-1030947</link>
		<dc:creator>BiBiJon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Jun 2008 21:07:28 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I wonder if you think a peace train is as unrealistically optimistic, as the war domino theory is pessimistic. The tensions in the Middle East have heat sources that can be dialed down. The US can take military options off the table (for now), set an Iraq departure timetable, Israel can leave occupied territories, etc.
Under the implicit threat of status quo ante, do you see everyone starting to behave amicably?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I wonder if you think a peace train is as unrealistically optimistic, as the war domino theory is pessimistic. The tensions in the Middle East have heat sources that can be dialed down. The US can take military options off the table (for now), set an Iraq departure timetable, Israel can leave occupied territories, etc.<br />
Under the implicit threat of status quo ante, do you see everyone starting to behave amicably?</p>
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